Market observations retain their individual dates and statuses. This is dated research, not a live price feed.
Equity index / U.S. · Enter starter — one micro NasdaqDecember micro Nasdaq recovery starter
A cheaper entry improves payoff without raising earnings forecasts. One unit only: TSMC and growth shocks can gap through the stop.
Dated native last
Entry conditions
Assumed market entry recorded at 04:16 UTC; no invented reclaim.
Target framework
31650 hard target; 30500 discretionary review
Fundamental invalidation
Exit on observed 29600 or material AI demand/financing deterioration; do not widen the stop.
Stop and risk limitation
29600
Strongest counterargument
TSMC demand or capex cuts and AI financing stress can reset the distribution. 29600 is a predeclared tactical invalidation, not newly verified technical support.
Next catalyst
TSMC at 06:00 UTC; U.S. retail/PPI at 12:30 UTC on October 15.
Roll and delivery
Exit November 20 before December 18 last trade. No automatic roll through February.
Market evidence
$2 per index point; $0.50 tick. Ledger entry risk $604.375; illustrative buffered gap risk $4,605.50. Deliberately below the usual starter band.
Expected return: interpretation
Assumed fill 29838.75 at 04:16 UTC, using dated last plus one adverse tick. No real order.